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Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Conventus StellarumLiquidity: $933.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $413.0KEvent: Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
100.0¢
Conventus Stellarum payout
0.0¢
Yakult Brothers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:163 trades$139.3K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Conventus Stellarum · $3.7K net·12 wallets·$17.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYConventus Stellarum$9.8K@ 70¢·Sunshine.Smile

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Conventus Stellarum. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-22 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win Game 2 against Yakult Brothers.

•This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win Game 2 against Conventus Stellarum.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Conventus Stellarum and Yakult Brothers in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win Game 2 against Yakult Brothers. This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win Game 2 against Conventus Stellarum. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $41.0K gross
Sunshine.Smile2 linked markets · $23.2K gross
darkmarketmaker2 linked markets · $15.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Yakult Brothers UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $377 → $49 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Conventus Stellarum; negative values favor Yakult Brothers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hConventus Stellarum · $9.8K
6hConventus Stellarum · $28.8K
24hConventus Stellarum · $28.8K

Conventus Stellarum price VWAP

Volume-weighted Conventus Stellarum price. Yakult Brothers fills are converted to the complementary Conventus Stellarum probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.7¢▲ above by 22.3pp
VWAP 7d77.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Conventus Stellarum price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$41.7K
90¢
$5.2K
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$11.3K
70¢
$21.9K
65¢
$43.0K
60¢
$13.3K
55¢
$55
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Conventus Stellarum$25.0K
BUY VWAP 67.1¢·12 fills
Sunshine.SmileConventus Stellarum$11.0K
BUY VWAP 69.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.