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UCF vs. Houston

Sports→American FootballSettlement: HoustonLiquidity: $417.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $691.8KEvent: UCF vs. Houston
0.0¢
UCF payout
100.0¢
Houston payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:UCF · $51.9K net·13 wallets(3🐋)·$200.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUCF$39.3K@ 55¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Houston. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston" if Houston win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between UCF and Houston, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston" if Houston win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $70.4K gross
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $65.2K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $202 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY UCF@ 53.0¢6d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor UCF; negative values favor Houston. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston · $36.6K
6hUCF · $9.6K
24hUCF · $9.6K

UCF price VWAP

Volume-weighted UCF price. Houston fills are converted to the complementary UCF probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▼ below by 36.7pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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UCF price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$62
75¢
$47
70¢
$5.1K
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$13.5K
55¢
$48.4K
50¢
$24.6K
45¢
$11.0K
40¢
$13.7K
35¢
$19.1K
30¢
$36.4K
25¢
$67.4K
20¢
$18.0K
15¢
$9.8K
10¢
$30.0K
5¢
$285
0¢
← now
$4.4K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHouston$25.5K@ 88.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—6 days ago
BUYHouston$16.9K@ 65.6¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$10.3K@ 63.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$39.3K@ 55.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$16.4K@ 33.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$13.4K@ 29.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$12.5K@ 36.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$11.0K@ 40.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—6 days ago
BUYHouston$11.7K@ 73.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—6 days ago
BUYHouston$14.7K@ 73.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYHouston$25.3K@ 72.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYUCF$12.5K@ 23.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazUCF$61.9K
BUY VWAP 37.5¢·5 fills
ethanazHouston$40.0K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563UCF$39.3K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
177-letsgoHouston$25.5K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerHouston$21.5K
BUY VWAP 68.8¢·3 fills
mooseborzoiiHouston$17.8K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·5 fills
kkookkooHouston$16.9K
BUY VWAP 65.6¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerUCF$16.2K
BUY VWAP 43.2¢·2 fills
Diabolical-PrizeUCF$16.1K
BUY VWAP 22.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.