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Spread: Southern University (-3.5)

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $15.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $15.9KEvent: Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University
47.5¢
Southern University
52.5¢
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution75Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:10 trades$26.5K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 182 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSouthern University$6.6K@ 46¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$6.2K
tracked
$26.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Arkansas-Pine Bluff · $409 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 182 minutes old.
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Southern University" if Southern University win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Southern University" if Southern University win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Southern University; negative values favor Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSouthern University · $0
6hSouthern University · $6.2K
24hSouthern University · $10.3K

Southern University price VWAP

Volume-weighted Southern University price. Arkansas-Pine Bluff fills are converted to the complementary Southern University probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h46.8¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d46.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Southern University price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$471
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$26.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooSouthern University$15.3K
BUY VWAP 46.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.