PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $186.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $158.5KEvent: Seahawks vs. Commanders
49.5¢
Seahawks
50.5¢
Commanders
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly52Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$72.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $1.4K net·2 wallets·$12.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$17.8K@ 48¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Commanders pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
−$3.5K
tracked
$72.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Seahawks · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Commanders or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 8 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Commanders, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Seahawks@ 50.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 50.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCommanders · $1.1K
6hCommanders · $3.5K
24hSeahawks · $59.1K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h48.7¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d48.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3
45¢
← now
$72.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$12.6K@ 49.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYSeahawks$17.8K@ 48.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 15 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$752.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell
31.5¢$584.9Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C
100.0¢$414.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
48.5¢$366.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
54.5¢$310.3Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Seahawks$59.0K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.