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Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $29.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $115.7KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
41.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
59.0¢
San Diego Padres
10.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution8Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$40.9K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 21s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$6.2K@ 49¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

San Diego Padres pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.5K
6h
+$35.9K
tracked
$40.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Los Angeles Dodgers · $4.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
10.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 10.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Diego Padres or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-24 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 23 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $26.8K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $16.3K gross
ForMyFamily12 linked markets · $3.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Dodgers UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $6.8K → $5.5K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $1.5K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $35.9K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $33.9K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.0¢
VWAP 24h49.3¢▼ below by 8.3pp
VWAP 7d49.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$11.8K
45¢
$29.1K
40¢
← now
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooLos Angeles Dodgers$22.1K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.