Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $7.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $65.1KEvent: Houston Astros vs. Athletics
77.0¢
Over
23.0¢
Under
8.0¢
Spread
anomaly1direction0wallets90execution30priority0data 60%💡 3 smart
24h sample:14 trades$26.4K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $20.7K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$22.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$16.3K@ 52¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$5
6h
+$22.1K
tracked
$26.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: Over · $20.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
8.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +25.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 8.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 25.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Houston Astros and Athletics combine to score 11 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 24 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Houston Astros and Athletics combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $20.1K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $10.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp
Latest book event: Over UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $17.6K → $7.9K · 85s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hOver · $5
6hOver · $22.1K
24hOver · $23.6K

Over price VWAP

Current77.0¢
VWAP 24h52.3¢▲ above by 24.7pp
VWAP 7d52.3¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
← now
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$25.0K
45¢
$5
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYOver$16.3K@ 52.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Over$16.3K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.