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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $28.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $141.0KEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
69.5¢
Team Liquid
30.5¢
Yakult Brothers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection43Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution72Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$55.8K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 26s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $11.3K net·5 wallets·$11.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$9.7K@ 72¢·SineNooneEI

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Liquid pressure: $18.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$18.4K
6h
+$23.3K
tracked
$55.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $11.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 74

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Yakult Brothers.

•This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and Yakult Brothers in the BLAST Slam Group D, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Yakult Brothers. This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xb7e3…1a642 linked markets · $93.0K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $28.5K gross
SineNooneEI2 linked markets · $15.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Liquid DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $8.8K → $282 · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor Yakult Brothers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $18.4K
6hTeam Liquid · $23.3K
24hTeam Liquid · $27.3K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. Yakult Brothers fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.5¢
VWAP 24h79.3¢▼ below by 9.8pp
VWAP 7d79.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$174
85¢
$9.9K
80¢
$8.1K
75¢
$14.7K
70¢
$23.0K
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.