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Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $191.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $403.9KEvent: Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego
100.0¢
Jenson Brooksby
0.1¢
Lorenzo Sonego
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:261 trades$112.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jenson Brooksby · $4.9K net·16 wallets·$29.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Sonego$14.5K@ 50¢·ORI-

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jenson Brooksby pressure: $5.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.6K
6h
−$48.5K
tracked
$112.0K

16 verified profitable wallets: Jenson Brooksby · $4.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jenson Brooksby or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jenson Brooksby. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lorenzo Sonego DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $71 → $11.9K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jenson Brooksby; negative values favor Lorenzo Sonego. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJenson Brooksby · $5.6K
6hLorenzo Sonego · $48.5K
24hLorenzo Sonego · $52.8K

Jenson Brooksby price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jenson Brooksby price. Lorenzo Sonego fills are converted to the complementary Jenson Brooksby probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h55.4¢▲ above by 44.6pp
VWAP 7d55.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jenson Brooksby price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.3K
90¢
$7.1K
85¢
$4.2K
80¢
$11.0K
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.1K
60¢
$15
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$31.5K
45¢
$29.0K
40¢
$129
35¢
$5
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$3.0K
20¢
$13.0K
15¢
$8
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLorenzo Sonego$14.0K@ 52.0¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Sonego$14.5K@ 49.9¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesLorenzo Sonego$19.4K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·34 fills
ORI-Lorenzo Sonego$14.5K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·1 fill
HectorHuangLorenzo Sonego$14.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.