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Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $112.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $396.8KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo
64.5¢
Coleman Wong
35.5¢
Adolfo Vallejo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:124 trades$131.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Coleman Wong · $6.8K net·5 wallets·$6.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdolfo Vallejo$10.5K@ 42¢·HectorHuang

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Coleman Wong SETUP
What the tape says

Coleman Wong pressure: $25.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.5K
6h
−$15.0K
tracked
$131.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Coleman Wong · $6.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 73

Since latest large flow: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Coleman Wong or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Adolfo Vallejo in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Coleman Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Adolfo Vallejo@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Adolfo Vallejo@ 42.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Adolfo Vallejo UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $5.6K → $18.8K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Coleman Wong; negative values favor Adolfo Vallejo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hColeman Wong · $25.5K
6hAdolfo Vallejo · $15.0K
24hAdolfo Vallejo · $10.0K

Coleman Wong price VWAP

Volume-weighted Coleman Wong price. Adolfo Vallejo fills are converted to the complementary Coleman Wong probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current64.5¢
VWAP 24h64.1¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d64.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Coleman Wong price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$17.1K
80¢
$4.6K
75¢
$1.5K
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.3K
60¢
← now
$26.3K
55¢
$76.5K
50¢
$68
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$10.0K@ 41.2¢
bigbankmoney0x3f76…436a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$10.5K@ 42.5¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackAdolfo Vallejo$29.2K
BUY VWAP 40.6¢·3 fills
HectorHuangAdolfo Vallejo$19.5K
BUY VWAP 43.3¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesColeman Wong$15.8K
BUY VWAP 85.5¢·13 fills
bigbankmoneyAdolfo Vallejo$10.0K
BUY VWAP 41.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.