PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $346.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $179.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
0.1¢
Alliance
100.0¢
3DMAX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:161 trades$64.4K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alliance · $951 net·6 wallets·$2.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY3DMAX$5.4K@ 59¢·0xc6f1…5729

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alliance pressure: $11.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.1K
6h
+$29.5K
tracked
$64.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: Alliance · $951 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alliance or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against 3DMAX.

•This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 2 against Alliance.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Alliance and 3DMAX in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against 3DMAX. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 2 against Alliance. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $41.8K gross
0xc6f1…57292 linked markets · $26.6K gross
Satanishippie2 linked markets · $10.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Alliance UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $42 → $150 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alliance; negative values favor 3DMAX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlliance · $11.1K
6hAlliance · $29.5K
24hAlliance · $29.5K

Alliance price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alliance price. 3DMAX fills are converted to the complementary Alliance probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h47.4¢▼ below by 47.4pp
VWAP 7d47.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Alliance price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$12
80¢
$2
75¢
$2.5K
70¢
$6.4K
65¢
$8.6K
60¢
$4.7K
55¢
$13.2K
50¢
$5.5K
45¢
$4.2K
40¢
$5.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$371
15¢
$681
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$12.5K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
0.1¢$326.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
0.1¢$574.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska
98.6¢$490.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
22.5¢$476.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
44.5¢$458.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
50.5¢$434.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

aaaa298Alliance$16.1K
BUY VWAP 65.7¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.