PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $97Official 24h Vol: $108.1KEvent: Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
12.0¢
Chicago White Sox
88.0¢
Colorado Rockies
8.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution1Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$48.7K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$20.0K@ 52¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.5K
6h
+$3.0K
tracked
$48.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Colorado Rockies · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
8.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -37.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 40 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 8.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 26 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ORI-2 linked markets · $5.0K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $3.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Colorado Rockies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $2.5K
6hChicago White Sox · $3.0K
24hChicago White Sox · $39.6K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Colorado Rockies fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current12.0¢
VWAP 24h50.6¢▼ below by 38.6pp
VWAP 7d50.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$46.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$100
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$5
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$15.0K@ 52.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$20.0K@ 52.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
56.5¢$108.3Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)
23.5¢$512.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
100.0¢$472.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
0.1¢$362.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner
76.5¢$329.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaChicago White Sox$39.9K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.