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Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz

Sports→Settlement: Hubert HurkaczLiquidity: $135.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $623.3KEvent: Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz
0.0¢
Lloyd Harris payout
100.0¢
Hubert Hurkacz payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:190 trades$167.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hubert Hurkacz · $21.8K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$29.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHubert Hurkacz$17.9K@ 96¢·0x20f4…15e1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hubert Hurkacz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Lloyd Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Hubert Hurkacz2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Hubert Hurkacz@ 81.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Hubert Hurkacz UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $563 → $19.1K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lloyd Harris; negative values favor Hubert Hurkacz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLloyd Harris · $2.7K
6hHubert Hurkacz · $75.6K
24hHubert Hurkacz · $85.9K

Lloyd Harris price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lloyd Harris price. Hubert Hurkacz fills are converted to the complementary Lloyd Harris probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h19.8¢▼ below by 19.8pp
VWAP 7d19.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lloyd Harris price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$15.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$20
40¢
$16.1K
35¢
$20.7K
30¢
$995
25¢
$3
20¢
$11.5K
15¢
$9.6K
10¢
$6.1K
5¢
$24.0K
0¢
← now
$60.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHubert Hurkacz$17.9K@ 96.1¢0x20f4…15e1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$13.5K@ 94.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$12.5K@ 44.8¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesHubert Hurkacz$22.5K
BUY VWAP 89.4¢·22 fills
kkookkooHubert Hurkacz$21.5K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·2 fills
0x20f4…15e1Hubert Hurkacz$17.9K
BUY VWAP 96.1¢·1 fill
FlaznorpHubert Hurkacz$13.6K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Hubert Hurkacz$10.3K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.