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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Team YandexLiquidity: $737.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Yandex payout
0.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:414 trades$436.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Yandex · $5.7K net·27 wallets·$65.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Yandex$18.7K@ 100¢·Skritopoolniy

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Yandex. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 18:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Team Yandex.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ribalka3 linked markets · $70.5K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $52.5K gross
Sunshine.Smile3 linked markets · $42.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Yandex57m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Yandex@ 69.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Yandex@ 75.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -53.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Team Yandex UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $19.8K → $4.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Yandex; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $34.7K
6hNatus Vincere · $17.7K
24hNatus Vincere · $17.7K

Team Yandex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Yandex price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary Team Yandex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.2¢▲ above by 31.8pp
VWAP 7d68.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Yandex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$104.0K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$2.4K
80¢
$21.0K
75¢
$54.4K
70¢
$53.0K
65¢
$49.5K
60¢
$10.5K
55¢
$5.9K
50¢
$23.2K
45¢
$35.0K
40¢
$24.1K
35¢
$4.6K
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$9.3K
20¢
$12.9K
15¢
$8.0K
10¢
$7.9K
5¢
$5.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Yandex$18.7K@ 99.9¢
Skritopoolniy0xd06c…cdaf
🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLTeam Yandex$12.9K@ 99.9¢
kid8170xb132…6b5e
🐋—39 minutes ago
SELLTeam Yandex$12.5K@ 99.9¢
Harekrishna6660xfc24…27f1
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYTeam Yandex$10.1K@ 78.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex$10.9K@ 80.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex$10.0K@ 78.3¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

omomom3Team Yandex$30.5K
BUY VWAP 78.6¢·7 fills
ribalkaTeam Yandex$19.2K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·8 fills
ribalkaNatus Vincere$16.3K
BUY VWAP 58.5¢·9 fills
Sunshine.SmileTeam Yandex$16.1K
BUY VWAP 76.8¢·3 fills
DOLBAEB1Team Yandex$11.0K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·7 fills
cat3xcat3xNatus Vincere$10.9K
BUY VWAP 45.3¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.