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Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong

Sports→Settlement: Daniil MedvedevLiquidity: $491.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $684.4KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong
100.0¢
Daniil Medvedev payout
0.0¢
Coleman Wong payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:225 trades$270.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniil Medvedev · $14.6K net·18 wallets·$37.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaniil Medvedev$44.5K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniil Medvedev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Coleman Wong in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Coleman Wong. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HectorHuang2 linked markets · $43.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Daniil Medvedev UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $55.0K → $54 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniil Medvedev; negative values favor Coleman Wong. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hColeman Wong · $61.0K
6hColeman Wong · $823
24hDaniil Medvedev · $1.2K

Daniil Medvedev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniil Medvedev price. Coleman Wong fills are converted to the complementary Daniil Medvedev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.6¢▲ above by 16.4pp
VWAP 7d83.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniil Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$81.9K
90¢
$13.9K
85¢
$57.5K
80¢
$12.2K
75¢
$21.6K
70¢
$17.5K
65¢
$49.8K
60¢
$16.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniil Medvedev$44.5K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLDaniil Medvedev$16.0K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.0K@ 71.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$26.0K@ 85.3¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYColeman Wong$10.8K@ 34.3¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.8K@ 67.5¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooDaniil Medvedev$36.0K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·2 fills
0xaaa8…7ea2Daniil Medvedev$18.0K
BUY VWAP 75.7¢·7 fills
HectorHuangColeman Wong$15.9K
BUY VWAP 34.7¢·2 fills
dmoralezDaniil Medvedev$11.8K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·8 fills
xabidakingDaniil Medvedev$10.8K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.