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Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $99.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $514.3KEvent: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau
41.5¢
Clement Tabur
58.5¢
Matteo Martineau
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:166 trades$287.1K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Clement Tabur · $53.9K net·15 wallets(3🐋)·$104.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMatteo Martineau$20.3K@ 81¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Clement Tabur pressure: $58.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$58.6K
6h
+$56.7K
tracked
$287.1K

15 verified profitable wallets: Clement Tabur · $53.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 62

Since latest market sweep: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable SELL price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Clement Tabur or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Tabur and Matteo Martineau in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clement Tabur' if Clement Tabur advances against Matteo Martineau. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Clement Tabur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Clement Tabur14m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL Clement Tabur@ 56.0¢26m ago
15m CONFIRMED +37.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Matteo Martineau@ 19.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -10.0pp
Latest book event: Matteo Martineau UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $10.4K → $10.0K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clement Tabur; negative values favor Matteo Martineau. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hClement Tabur · $58.6K
6hClement Tabur · $56.7K
24hClement Tabur · $56.7K

Clement Tabur price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clement Tabur price. Matteo Martineau fills are converted to the complementary Clement Tabur probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▼ below by 13.8pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clement Tabur price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$25
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$55.2K
75¢
$38.6K
70¢
$16.1K
65¢
$111
60¢
$241
55¢
$46.8K
50¢
$22.4K
45¢
$23.5K
40¢
← now
$11
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$6.8K
25¢
$39.9K
20¢
$2.7K
15¢
$28.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMatteo Martineau$17.2K@ 51.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—4 minutes ago
SELLMatteo Martineau$20.3K@ 80.7¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—9 minutes ago
SELLMatteo Martineau$20.1K@ 73.5¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—13 minutes ago
SELLMatteo Martineau$13.3K@ 74.2¢
Escobarzzzz0xcc92…649d
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYClement Tabur$12.4K@ 56.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—28 minutes ago
SELLClement Tabur$11.2K@ 70.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYClement Tabur$13.6K@ 80.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYClement Tabur$19.9K@ 82.0¢0xcc32…92d2🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYClement Tabur$11.7K@ 76.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMatteo Martineau$10.4K@ 48.3¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtClement Tabur$31.6K
BUY VWAP 68.3¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Clement Tabur$25.9K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·6 fills
0xcc32…92d2Clement Tabur$19.9K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooMatteo Martineau$19.4K
BUY VWAP 45.4¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Matteo Martineau$17.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesMatteo Martineau$14.1K
BUY VWAP 48.6¢·12 fills
HVABClement Tabur$11.7K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
AntblackMatteo Martineau$11.5K
BUY VWAP 21.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.