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Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

Sports→Settlement: Sascha Gueymard-WayenburgLiquidity: $586.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $251.3KEvent: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
0.0¢
Pierre-Hugues Herbert payout
100.0¢
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:76 trades$71.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $16.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$27.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$16.5K@ 59¢·0x4fdc…ca1f

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg@ 85.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Pierre-Hugues Herbert DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $16.1K → $12.5K · 48s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pierre-Hugues Herbert; negative values favor Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $18.6K
6hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $31.7K
24hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $31.7K

Pierre-Hugues Herbert price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pierre-Hugues Herbert price. Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg fills are converted to the complementary Pierre-Hugues Herbert probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.4¢▼ below by 23.4pp
VWAP 7d23.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pierre-Hugues Herbert price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$5
40¢
$17.8K
35¢
$4.1K
30¢
$53
25¢
$1.7K
20¢
$23.3K
15¢
$10.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$14.4K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$10.4K@ 96.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$16.5K@ 59.1¢0x4fdc…ca1f🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x4fdc…ca1fSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$20.5K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·2 fills
FlaznorpSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$10.4K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.