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Porto 2: Cezar Cretu vs Henrique Rocha

Sports→Settlement: Henrique RochaLiquidity: $50.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $404.4KEvent: Porto 2: Cezar Cretu vs Henrique Rocha
0.0¢
Cezar Cretu payout
100.0¢
Henrique Rocha payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:178 trades$200.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Henrique Rocha · $1.7K net·6 wallets·$19.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHenrique Rocha$80.8K@ 100¢·backback

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Henrique Rocha. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Henrique Rocha in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Cezar Cretu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Henrique Rocha@ 99.8¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Henrique Rocha@ 92.5¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Henrique Rocha UP 3.4pp · near-book depth $27.1K → $6.4K · 36s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cezar Cretu; negative values favor Henrique Rocha. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHenrique Rocha · $64.4K
6hHenrique Rocha · $112.2K
24hHenrique Rocha · $112.2K

Cezar Cretu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cezar Cretu price. Henrique Rocha fills are converted to the complementary Cezar Cretu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h4.1¢▼ below by 4.1pp
VWAP 7d4.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cezar Cretu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$10.8K
15¢
$13.4K
10¢
$18.4K
5¢
$28.9K
0¢
← now
$128.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHenrique Rocha$80.8K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLHenrique Rocha$30.0K@ 99.9¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHenrique Rocha$17.3K@ 94.0¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

backbackHenrique Rocha$80.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
watcherz88Henrique Rocha$39.6K
BUY VWAP 92.6¢·4 fills
jaytee158Henrique Rocha$10.8K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.