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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $643.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $310.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
99.9¢
Aurora Gaming
0.1¢
9z
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets68Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:114 trades$88.3K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $21.2K net·8 wallets·$31.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAurora Gaming$6.0K@ 84¢·hurrican

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

9z pressure: $6.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.9K
6h
+$42.6K
tracked
$88.3K

8 verified profitable wallets: Aurora Gaming · $21.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 9z or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against 9z.

•This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
xytest2 linked markets · $18.1K gross
minji2 linked markets · $17.9K gross
0xheavy8882 linked markets · $17.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aurora Gaming UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $60.1K → $29.0K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor 9z. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h9z · $6.9K
6hAurora Gaming · $42.6K
24hAurora Gaming · $42.6K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. 9z fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h79.9¢▲ above by 20.0pp
VWAP 7d79.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$16.8K
90¢
$2.9K
85¢
$1.1K
80¢
$7.7K
75¢
$26.6K
70¢
$20.6K
65¢
$8.4K
60¢
$4.1K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.