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Columbus: Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $94.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $379.4KEvent: Columbus: Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris
83.5¢
Braden Shick
16.5¢
Ozan Baris
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:140 trades$184.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ozan Baris · $21.3K net·12 wallets·$34.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBraden Shick$27.7K@ 62¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ozan Baris SETUP
What the tape says

Ozan Baris pressure: $23.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.5K
6h
+$1.4K
tracked
$184.2K

12 verified profitable wallets: Ozan Baris · $21.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 62

Since latest large flow: -36.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ozan Baris or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Braden Shick and Ozan Baris in the Columbus, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Braden Shick' if Braden Shick advances against Ozan Baris. This market will resolve to 'Ozan Baris' if Ozan Baris advances against Braden Shick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ozan Baris@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Braden Shick@ 67.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -21.0pp
Latest book event: Braden Shick UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $50.8K → $14.6K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Braden Shick; negative values favor Ozan Baris. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOzan Baris · $23.5K
6hBraden Shick · $1.4K
24hBraden Shick · $1.4K

Braden Shick price VWAP

Volume-weighted Braden Shick price. Ozan Baris fills are converted to the complementary Braden Shick probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current83.5¢
VWAP 24h57.9¢▲ above by 25.6pp
VWAP 7d57.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Braden Shick price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$235
75¢
$15.0K
70¢
$5.5K
65¢
$11.3K
60¢
$44.4K
55¢
$45.2K
50¢
$42.3K
45¢
$88
40¢
$9.7K
35¢
$10.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOzan Baris$14.4K@ 47.6¢
boltsrock260x8785…8cc1
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYBraden Shick$27.7K@ 61.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooBraden Shick$27.7K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Ozan Baris$23.2K
BUY VWAP 40.6¢·5 fills
boltsrock26Ozan Baris$14.4K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·1 fill
AntblackBraden Shick$11.1K
BUY VWAP 59.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.