PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

● quote 10 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $931.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $530.4KEvent: Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili
99.9¢
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets77Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:211 trades$207.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · $23.1K net·13 wallets·$30.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$28.7K@ 80¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Nikoloz Basilashvili pressure: $15.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.2K
6h
+$34.1K
tracked
$207.9K

13 verified profitable wallets: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · $23.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 10 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 12.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nikoloz Basilashvili or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina@ 88.0¢51m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina@ 76.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina@ 55.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp
Latest book event: Nikoloz Basilashvili DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $25 → $366 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili; negative values favor Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikoloz Basilashvili · $15.2K
6hNikoloz Basilashvili · $34.1K
24hNikoloz Basilashvili · $30.6K

Nikoloz Basilashvili price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikoloz Basilashvili price. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fills are converted to the complementary Nikoloz Basilashvili probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h29.8¢▼ below by 28.8pp
VWAP 7d29.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Nikoloz Basilashvili price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$22.2K
55¢
$17.8K
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$30.5K
40¢
$3.6K
35¢
$3.4K
30¢
$16.8K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$11.3K
15¢
$42.6K
10¢
$15.4K
5¢
$5.7K
0¢
← now
$33.8K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$28.7K@ 80.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNikoloz Basilashvili$12.9K@ 56.2¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$10.0K@ 53.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Eagles vs. Bears
65.5¢$810.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
9.5¢$614.7Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$518.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bari: Federico Arnaboldi vs Svyatoslav Gulin
100.0¢$426.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
50.5¢$371.9Kpriority36Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$19.0K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·2 fills
one8tyfiveNikoloz Basilashvili$14.2K
BUY VWAP 48.8¢·2 fills
KkunnNikoloz Basilashvili$13.9K
BUY VWAP 30.7¢·2 fills
one8tyfiveAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$10.3K
BUY VWAP 80.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.