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Bari: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Laurent Lokoli

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $837.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $550.8KEvent: Bari: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Laurent Lokoli
0.1¢
Pol Martin Tiffon
100.0¢
Laurent Lokoli
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:179 trades$188.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Laurent Lokoli · $19.1K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$53.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLaurent Lokoli$35.8K@ 99¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Pol Martin Tiffon pressure: $15.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.8K
6h
−$9.5K
tracked
$188.7K

15 verified profitable wallets: Laurent Lokoli · $19.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +34.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 34.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pol Martin Tiffon or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pol Martin Tiffon and Laurent Lokoli in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Laurent Lokoli. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Pol Martin Tiffon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Laurent Lokoli27m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Laurent Lokoli@ 66.0¢36m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Laurent Lokoli2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Laurent Lokoli@ 37.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp
Latest book event: Pol Martin Tiffon UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $34 → $1.8K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pol Martin Tiffon; negative values favor Laurent Lokoli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPol Martin Tiffon · $15.8K
6hLaurent Lokoli · $9.5K
24hLaurent Lokoli · $9.5K

Pol Martin Tiffon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pol Martin Tiffon price. Laurent Lokoli fills are converted to the complementary Pol Martin Tiffon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h35.7¢▼ below by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d35.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pol Martin Tiffon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.7K
60¢
$13.3K
55¢
$40.9K
50¢
$5.4K
45¢
$8.2K
40¢
$11.4K
35¢
$44.2K
30¢
$13.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$3.7K
10¢
$7.6K
5¢
$318
0¢
← now
$35.8K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLaurent Lokoli$35.8K@ 99.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYLaurent Lokoli$23.9K@ 64.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYLaurent Lokoli$13.4K@ 66.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYLaurent Lokoli$16.1K@ 44.3¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Laurent Lokoli$23.9K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·1 fill
kkookkooLaurent Lokoli$16.1K
BUY VWAP 44.3¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Laurent Lokoli$13.4K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cLaurent Lokoli$12.9K
BUY VWAP 45.4¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.