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China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $117.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $101.1KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda
68.5¢
Katarzyna Kawa payout
31.5¢
Rinko Matsuda payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:28 trades$19.1K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 102 min agoofficial metadata 71 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKatarzyna Kawa$4.0K@ 100¢·neutralwave23

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Rinko Matsuda in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Rinko Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Katarzyna Kawa UP 5.2pp · near-book depth $496 → $123 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katarzyna Kawa; negative values favor Rinko Matsuda. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRinko Matsuda · $10.4K
6hRinko Matsuda · $5.6K
24hRinko Matsuda · $5.6K

Katarzyna Kawa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katarzyna Kawa price. Rinko Matsuda fills are converted to the complementary Katarzyna Kawa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h77.9¢▼ below by 9.4pp
VWAP 7d77.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katarzyna Kawa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$7.6K
90¢
$408
85¢
$94
80¢
$3.6K
75¢
$12
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
← now
$9
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.