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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel

Sports→Settlement: Adolfo VallejoLiquidity: $76.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $356.4KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel
100.0¢
Adolfo Vallejo payout
0.0¢
Taro Daniel payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:61 trades$216.6K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adolfo Vallejo · $1.8K net·3 wallets·$7.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdolfo Vallejo$41.6K@ 51¢·HectorHuang

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Adolfo Vallejo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 05:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Taro Daniel in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Taro Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Adolfo Vallejo1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Adolfo Vallejo@ 73.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Adolfo Vallejo@ 74.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Adolfo Vallejo2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Adolfo Vallejo UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $6.3K → $18.4K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adolfo Vallejo; negative values favor Taro Daniel. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaro Daniel · $49.3K
6hTaro Daniel · $20.4K
24hTaro Daniel · $20.7K

Adolfo Vallejo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adolfo Vallejo price. Taro Daniel fills are converted to the complementary Adolfo Vallejo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.9¢▲ above by 24.1pp
VWAP 7d75.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adolfo Vallejo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$90.3K
90¢
$6.1K
85¢
$15
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$4.5K
70¢
$30.4K
65¢
$2
60¢
$4.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$42.9K
45¢
$23.9K
40¢
$10.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$18.9K@ 99.9¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$31.1K@ 99.9¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$14.2K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$13.5K@ 95.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$30.0K@ 73.6¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$10.0K@ 48.3¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$41.6K@ 50.6¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HectorHuangAdolfo Vallejo$41.6K
BUY VWAP 50.6¢·1 fill
AntblackAdolfo Vallejo$19.0K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·2 fills
0xc1acc1Adolfo Vallejo$13.5K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.