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China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $146.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $156.5KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian
99.9¢
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
0.1¢
Jialin Tian
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$44.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 81 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Andrea Lazaro Garcia · $3.5K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$40.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJialin Tian$12.2K@ 41¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$251
tracked
$44.4K

7 verified profitable wallets: Andrea Lazaro Garcia · $3.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -94.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 81 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Jialin Tian in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Jialin Tian. This market will resolve to 'Jialin Tian' if Jialin Tian advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Andrea Lazaro Garcia@ 94.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Jialin Tian4h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jialin Tian@ 26.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Andrea Lazaro Garcia DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $23.8K → $13.6K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Andrea Lazaro Garcia; negative values favor Jialin Tian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndrea Lazaro Garcia · $0
6hAndrea Lazaro Garcia · $251
24hAndrea Lazaro Garcia · $251

Andrea Lazaro Garcia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Andrea Lazaro Garcia price. Jialin Tian fills are converted to the complementary Andrea Lazaro Garcia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h72.7¢▲ above by 27.2pp
VWAP 7d72.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Andrea Lazaro Garcia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.7K
90¢
$90
85¢
$19.3K
80¢
$282
75¢
$22
70¢
$161
65¢
$0
60¢
$5.1K
55¢
$14.2K
50¢
$113
45¢
$3
40¢
$10
35¢
$419
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJialin Tian$12.2K@ 41.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Jialin Tian$17.2K
BUY VWAP 40.7¢·2 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseAndrea Lazaro Garcia$15.0K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.