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China Open, Qualification: Carol Zhao vs Vivian Wolff

Sports→Settlement: Vivian WolffLiquidity: $121.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $181.0KEvent: China Open, Qualification: Carol Zhao vs Vivian Wolff
0.0¢
Carol Zhao payout
100.0¢
Vivian Wolff payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:22 trades$18.4K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carol Zhao · $9.5K net·2 wallets·$9.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVivian Wolff$2.6K@ 98¢·UpTheBlues

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vivian Wolff. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Zhao and Vivian Wolff in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Zhao' if Carol Zhao advances against Vivian Wolff. This market will resolve to 'Vivian Wolff' if Vivian Wolff advances against Carol Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Vivian Wolff UP 2.7pp · near-book depth $73.7K → $23.1K · 87s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Carol Zhao; negative values favor Vivian Wolff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVivian Wolff · $6.5K
6hCarol Zhao · $668
24hCarol Zhao · $668

Carol Zhao price VWAP

Volume-weighted Carol Zhao price. Vivian Wolff fills are converted to the complementary Carol Zhao probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h6.0¢▼ below by 6.0pp
VWAP 7d6.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Carol Zhao price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
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$0
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$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
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$0
55¢
$0
50¢
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45¢
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30¢
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25¢
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15¢
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10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$9.5K
0¢
← now
$6.5K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.