PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $898.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $926.6KEvent: LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
0.1¢
Cloud9
100.0¢
LYON
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 34 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:458 trades$329.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cloud9 · $46.8K net·34 wallets·$85.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLYON$34.1K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cloud9 pressure: $31.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.2K
6h
+$109.9K
tracked
$329.2K

34 verified profitable wallets: Cloud9 · $46.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -55.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cloud9 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 2 against LYON.

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 2 against Cloud9.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 2 against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 2 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fhiwbijd4 linked markets · $67.2K gross
0x076d…8d4c4 linked markets · $62.1K gross
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $42.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cloud959m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cloud9@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: LYON DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $133 → $125 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cloud9; negative values favor LYON. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCloud9 · $31.2K
6hCloud9 · $109.9K
24hCloud9 · $109.9K

Cloud9 price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cloud9 price. LYON fills are converted to the complementary Cloud9 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h35.2¢▼ below by 35.2pp
VWAP 7d35.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cloud9 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
$417
80¢
$606
75¢
$14
70¢
$1.2K
65¢
$5.0K
60¢
$13.0K
55¢
$20.7K
50¢
$113.1K
45¢
$34.7K
40¢
$27.2K
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
$91
25¢
$419
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$106.0K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLYON$34.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLYON$25.0K@ 98.3¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCloud9$10.6K@ 53.9¢
TheMafiaa0xafd4…7e61
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
24.5¢$829.2Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$470.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
20.0¢$381.8Kpriority40Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
43.5¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
0.5¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Buccaneers
60.5¢$493.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Commanders
66.5¢$445.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$425.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hLYON$33.5K
BUY VWAP 98.4¢·2 fills
fhiwbijdCloud9$15.9K
BUY VWAP 52.9¢·3 fills
fkcvffcjtCloud9$15.7K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·7 fills
Sunshine.SmileCloud9$13.7K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·2 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaLYON$12.6K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·3 fills
TheMafiaaCloud9$10.6K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.