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W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran

Sports→Settlement: Irina BalusLiquidity: $66.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.4KEvent: W100 Templeton, CA: Irina Balus vs Krisha Mahendran
100.0¢
Irina Balus payout
0.0¢
Krisha Mahendran payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:27 trades$80.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 202 min agoofficial metadata 80 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Krisha Mahendran · $2.5K net·3 wallets·$2.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIrina Balus$49.9K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Irina Balus. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Irina Balus and Krisha Mahendran in the W100 Templeton, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irina Balus' if Irina Balus advances against Krisha Mahendran. This market will resolve to 'Krisha Mahendran' if Krisha Mahendran advances against Irina Balus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Irina Balus UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $388 · 29s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Irina Balus; negative values favor Krisha Mahendran. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIrina Balus · $0
6hKrisha Mahendran · $57.7K
24hKrisha Mahendran · $57.7K

Irina Balus price VWAP

Volume-weighted Irina Balus price. Krisha Mahendran fills are converted to the complementary Irina Balus probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.4¢▲ above by 19.6pp
VWAP 7d80.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Irina Balus price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$50.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$70
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20.5K
50¢
$39
45¢
$5
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.4K
15¢
$3.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIrina Balus$49.9K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.