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China Open: Maya Joint vs Sinja Kraus

Sports→Settlement: Sinja KrausLiquidity: $624.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $760.0KEvent: China Open: Maya Joint vs Sinja Kraus
0.0¢
Maya Joint payout
100.0¢
Sinja Kraus payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:196 trades$309.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sinja Kraus · $55.5K net·15 wallets(3🐋)·$214.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaya Joint$50.8K@ 53¢·0x9e3e…f882

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sinja Kraus. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maya Joint and Sinja Kraus in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Sinja Kraus. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Maya Joint. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Maya Joint55m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Maya Joint@ 17.0¢57m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Maya Joint1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Maya Joint@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Maya Joint DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $104 → $44 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maya Joint; negative values favor Sinja Kraus. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSinja Kraus · $9.0K
6hMaya Joint · $395
24hMaya Joint · $395

Maya Joint price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maya Joint price. Sinja Kraus fills are converted to the complementary Maya Joint probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.2¢▼ below by 45.2pp
VWAP 7d45.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maya Joint price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$12.7K
65¢
$37.5K
60¢
$31.6K
55¢
$12.9K
50¢
$77.2K
45¢
$24.5K
40¢
$8.9K
35¢
$5.2K
30¢
$79
25¢
$40.3K
20¢
$124
15¢
$43.4K
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$11.8K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSinja Kraus$11.6K@ 37.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLSinja Kraus$17.4K@ 81.2¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLSinja Kraus$11.9K@ 71.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSinja Kraus$10.2K@ 33.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMaya Joint$50.8K@ 52.5¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSinja Kraus$11.9K@ 51.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSinja Kraus$14.0K@ 47.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Sinja Kraus$66.1K
BUY VWAP 44.2¢·12 fills
0x9e3e…f882Maya Joint$56.4K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·5 fills
0xc323…0077Sinja Kraus$19.4K
BUY VWAP 52.5¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSinja Kraus$14.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Sinja Kraus$14.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardMaya Joint$11.8K
BUY VWAP 56.4¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesSinja Kraus$10.3K
BUY VWAP 44.7¢·22 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.