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Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $125.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $492.0KEvent: Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane
17.5¢
Elias Ymer payout
82.5¢
Terence Atmane payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:77 trades$152.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elias Ymer · $32.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$133.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElias Ymer$28.1K@ 56¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Terence Atmane in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 32m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 32m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Elias Ymer DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $13.1K → $381 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elias Ymer; negative values favor Terence Atmane. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElias Ymer · $50.3K
6hElias Ymer · $30.2K
24hElias Ymer · $25.4K

Elias Ymer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elias Ymer price. Terence Atmane fills are converted to the complementary Elias Ymer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current17.5¢
VWAP 24h44.1¢▼ below by 26.6pp
VWAP 7d44.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elias Ymer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.7K
90¢
$11.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$55.3K
50¢
$153
45¢
$20.3K
40¢
$3.3K
35¢
$9.9K
30¢
$3.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$7.3K
15¢
← now
$9.6K
10¢
$22.9K
5¢
$5.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElias Ymer$14.1K@ 57.8¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElias Ymer$28.1K@ 56.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cElias Ymer$65.7K
BUY VWAP 59.5¢·10 fills
0x1610…ae49Elias Ymer$17.0K
BUY VWAP 13.8¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.