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China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu

Sports→Settlement: Yunchaokete BuLiquidity: $158.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $366.4KEvent: China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu
0.0¢
Juan Manuel Cerundolo payout
100.0¢
Yunchaokete Bu payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:116 trades$75.9K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 58 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yunchaokete Bu · $34.4K net·7 wallets·$41.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuan Manuel Cerundolo$7.7K@ 21¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Yunchaokete Bu. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Yunchaokete Bu in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Yunchaokete Bu. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Yunchaokete Bu UP 4.1pp · near-book depth $505 → $135 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Juan Manuel Cerundolo; negative values favor Yunchaokete Bu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYunchaokete Bu · $20.3K
6hYunchaokete Bu · $17.5K
24hYunchaokete Bu · $17.5K

Juan Manuel Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Juan Manuel Cerundolo price. Yunchaokete Bu fills are converted to the complementary Juan Manuel Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.5¢▼ below by 20.5pp
VWAP 7d20.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Juan Manuel Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$195
45¢
$3.5K
40¢
$9.0K
35¢
$2.7K
30¢
$3.9K
25¢
$3.9K
20¢
$14.9K
15¢
$4.7K
10¢
$11.9K
5¢
$12.5K
0¢
← now
$8.6K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardYunchaokete Bu$22.0K
BUY VWAP 79.5¢·5 fills
UpTheBluesYunchaokete Bu$12.6K
BUY VWAP 81.2¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.