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China Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Sports→Settlement: Jan-Lennard StruffLiquidity: $104.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $196.1KEvent: China Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
100.0¢
Jan-Lennard Struff payout
0.0¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:61 trades$67.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 86 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $26.3K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$30.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJan-Lennard Struff$10.7K@ 94¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jan-Lennard Struff. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Thiago Agustin Tirante DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $386 → $1.5K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $13.6K
6hJan-Lennard Struff · $20.3K
24hJan-Lennard Struff · $12.6K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Thiago Agustin Tirante fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.8¢▲ above by 25.2pp
VWAP 7d74.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.6K
90¢
$20.1K
85¢
$217
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$16.7K
65¢
$208
60¢
$53
55¢
$4.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$12.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$10.7K@ 93.6¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardJan-Lennard Struff$15.6K
BUY VWAP 74.5¢·3 fills
FlaznorpJan-Lennard Struff$10.7K
BUY VWAP 93.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.