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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $290.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $288.2KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
50.5¢
Philadelphia Phillies
49.5¢
Atlanta Braves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$139.7K tracked36% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 149 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAtlanta Braves$44.7K@ 48¢·0x9e3e…f882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$8.6K
tracked
$139.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Atlanta Braves · $2.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 149 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 30 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Atlanta Braves@ 49.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWSELL Atlanta Braves@ 49.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Atlanta Braves@ 50.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 50.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $0
6hAtlanta Braves · $8.6K
24hAtlanta Braves · $3.5K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d50.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$97.6K
45¢
$42.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAtlanta Braves$44.7K@ 48.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 4 hours ago
SELLAtlanta Braves$18.2K@ 48.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$22.8K@ 48.3¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$29.1K@ 50.3¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$13.1K@ 51.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9e3e…f882Atlanta Braves$65.0K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.