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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $246.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $988.6KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
57.5¢
Chicago White Sox
42.5¢
Houston Astros
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:228 trades$425.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $151.5K net·17 wallets(3🐋)·$249.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$52.0K@ 42¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Chicago White Sox SETUP
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $76.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$76.2K
6h
+$227.1K
tracked
$425.9K

17 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $151.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 63

Since latest market sweep: -24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 30 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $42.8K gross
surfandturf2 linked markets · $4.7K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $2.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago White Sox@ 82.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h INVALIDATED -14.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago White Sox1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Chicago White Sox@ 42.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +32.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 42.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +32.0pp
Latest book event: Houston Astros UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $369 → $360 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Houston Astros. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $76.2K
6hChicago White Sox · $227.1K
24hChicago White Sox · $274.6K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Houston Astros fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h61.6¢▼ below by 4.1pp
VWAP 7d61.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$110.9K
75¢
$35.9K
70¢
$52.6K
65¢
$27.1K
60¢
$10.6K
55¢
← now
$13.5K
50¢
$7.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$167.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$13.5K@ 70.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$22.7K@ 81.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLChicago White Sox$13.9K@ 73.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$52.0K@ 42.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$48.0K@ 42.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$18.9K@ 42.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$28.7K@ 42.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaChicago White Sox$100.0K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills
0xc323…0077Chicago White Sox$28.7K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtChicago White Sox$23.4K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·5 fills
177-letsgoChicago White Sox$22.7K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardChicago White Sox$21.9K
BUY VWAP 76.1¢·3 fills
SDTradingChicago White Sox$18.9K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
b324uChicago White Sox$18.3K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·2 fills
0xd1ec…5d8eChicago White Sox$14.4K
BUY VWAP 78.8¢·6 fills
dips.Chicago White Sox$11.9K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·15 fills
HomeRunHazardHouston Astros$10.6K
BUY VWAP 38.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.