PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 Winner

● quote 43s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $666.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $407.5KEvent: LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
99.9¢
T1 Academy
0.1¢
Galions
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:239 trades$167.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 Academy · $7.8K net·13 wallets·$12.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLT1 Academy$20.2K@ 100¢·Lucas1tb

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Galions pressure: $18.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.6K
6h
+$11.8K
tracked
$167.8K

13 verified profitable wallets: T1 Academy · $7.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Galions or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 4 against Galions.

•This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 4 against T1 Academy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between T1 Academy and Galions in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 4 against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 4 against T1 Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $165.6K gross
five51204 linked markets · $88.6K gross
Lucas1tb4 linked markets · $87.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY T1 Academy@ 97.0¢27m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Galions DOWN 10.0pp · near-book depth $5 → $56 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1 Academy; negative values favor Galions. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGalions · $18.6K
6hT1 Academy · $11.8K
24hT1 Academy · $11.8K

T1 Academy price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 Academy price. Galions fills are converted to the complementary T1 Academy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h86.0¢▲ above by 13.9pp
VWAP 7d86.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

T1 Academy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$83.8K
90¢
$13.0K
85¢
$22
80¢
$2.9K
75¢
$6.4K
70¢
$9.1K
65¢
$50.5K
60¢
$190
55¢
$780
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLT1 Academy$12.8K@ 99.9¢
sxnxnvmvf0xbe8b…0226
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLT1 Academy$20.2K@ 99.9¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYT1 Academy$10.0K@ 98.5¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYT1 Academy$13.4K@ 67.6¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
59.5¢$763.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$517.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$443.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$394.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic
21.5¢$1.1Mpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$822.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$443.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lucas1tbT1 Academy$17.4K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileT1 Academy$15.2K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.