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Florida State vs. Louisville

Sports→American FootballSettlement: LouisvilleLiquidity: $293.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $732.4KEvent: Florida State vs. Louisville
0.0¢
Florida State payout
100.0¢
Louisville payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Louisville · $49.3K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$91.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlorida State$57.9K@ 76¢·KaneAnalytics

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Louisville. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sassy-Bucket3 linked markets · $124.9K gross
KaneAnalytics3 linked markets · $100.9K gross
iDARKenjoyer3 linked markets · $34.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Florida State2d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Florida State@ 68.0¢2d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florida State; negative values favor Louisville. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlorida State · $26.0K
6hFlorida State · $12.5K
24hFlorida State · $7.9K

Florida State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florida State price. Louisville fills are converted to the complementary Florida State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h39.9¢▼ below by 39.9pp
VWAP 7d39.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florida State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$17.1K
75¢
$83.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$16.7K
60¢
$6.6K
55¢
$6.2K
50¢
$28.5K
45¢
$8.6K
40¢
$31
35¢
$28.0K
30¢
$103
25¢
$2.0K
20¢
$43.4K
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$39.4K
5¢
$31.2K
0¢
← now
$47.1K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLouisville$14.8K@ 99.9¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—1 day ago
SELLLouisville$10.1K@ 99.9¢
Hashbrown0xa52b…9480
🐋—1 day ago
SELLLouisville$16.8K@ 92.0¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—2 days ago
BUYLouisville$18.3K@ 89.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—2 days ago
BUYLouisville$10.2K@ 76.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—2 days ago
SELLFlorida State$10.8K@ 24.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—2 days ago
BUYFlorida State$10.2K@ 83.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—2 days ago
BUYFlorida State$57.9K@ 76.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—2 days ago
BUYFlorida State$12.5K@ 76.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—2 days ago
BUYFlorida State$10.9K@ 67.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—2 days ago
BUYLouisville$10.1K@ 63.0¢
Canesclean0x13ff…16a3
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KaneAnalyticsFlorida State$70.4K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·2 fills
iDARKenjoyerLouisville$27.2K
BUY VWAP 67.8¢·3 fills
mooseborzoiiLouisville$18.2K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·7 fills
mooseborzoiiFlorida State$13.4K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·3 fills
banksideLouisville$11.0K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·2 fills
tennischampFlorida State$10.2K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
tennischampLouisville$10.2K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
CanescleanLouisville$10.1K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.