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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $77.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $96.3KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
26.5¢
Tomas Etcheverry
73.5¢
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection42Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$45.4K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$19.0K@ 74¢·askilika

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Stefanos Tsitsipas pressure: $18.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.9K
6h
−$36.6K
tracked
$45.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Stefanos Tsitsipas · $2.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Stefanos Tsitsipas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 03:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Etcheverry and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Tomas Etcheverry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 74.0¢45m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tomas Etcheverry; negative values favor Stefanos Tsitsipas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStefanos Tsitsipas · $18.9K
6hStefanos Tsitsipas · $36.6K
24hStefanos Tsitsipas · $32.3K

Tomas Etcheverry price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tomas Etcheverry price. Stefanos Tsitsipas fills are converted to the complementary Tomas Etcheverry probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h26.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d26.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tomas Etcheverry price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$45.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYStefanos Tsitsipas$19.0K@ 74.0¢
askilika0x0979…8d9b
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

askilikaStefanos Tsitsipas$33.8K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.