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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $822.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar
75.5¢
Taylor Fritz payout
24.5¢
Jaume Munar payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:407 trades$446.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taylor Fritz · $13.2K net·22 wallets(1🐋)·$130.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJaume Munar$72.3K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-08 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Jaume Munar in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Jaume Munar@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Taylor Fritz@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Taylor Fritz3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Taylor Fritz@ 48.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h CONFIRMED +34.0pp
Latest book event: Jaume Munar UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $69.1K → $17.3K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Fritz; negative values favor Jaume Munar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaylor Fritz · $102.4K
6hTaylor Fritz · $176.9K
24hTaylor Fritz · $191.2K

Taylor Fritz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Fritz price. Jaume Munar fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Fritz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h41.9¢▲ above by 33.6pp
VWAP 7d41.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Taylor Fritz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$300
80¢
$23.7K
75¢
← now
$51.0K
70¢
$21.9K
65¢
$21.4K
60¢
$42.0K
55¢
$12.2K
50¢
$52.2K
45¢
$35.6K
40¢
$23.1K
35¢
$25.1K
30¢
$4.1K
25¢
$127
20¢
$357
15¢
$1.5K
10¢
$3.6K
5¢
$4.1K
0¢
$124.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJaume Munar$33.3K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLJaume Munar$72.3K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJaume Munar$10.0K@ 51.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$10.7K@ 35.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$14.0K@ 52.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$29.0K@ 60.8¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$21.3K@ 76.0¢
Scott81530xd1ec…5d8e
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooTaylor Fritz$43.0K
BUY VWAP 57.8¢·2 fills
kkookkooJaume Munar$22.5K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·4 fills
Scott8153Taylor Fritz$21.3K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Jaume Munar$16.8K
BUY VWAP 42.2¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardJaume Munar$15.4K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·9 fills
0xc323…0077Taylor Fritz$15.3K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·7 fills
0x2c33…0563Taylor Fritz$14.4K
BUY VWAP 36.2¢·2 fills
KkunnJaume Munar$12.7K
BUY VWAP 38.2¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesJaume Munar$12.4K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·22 fills
ferrariChampions2026Taylor Fritz$11.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.