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China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson

Sports→Settlement: Aliaksandra SasnovichLiquidity: $728.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $473.3KEvent: China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson
100.0¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich payout
0.0¢
Talia Gibson payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:93 trades$97.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Talia Gibson · $11.6K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$67.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAliaksandra Sasnovich$15.4K@ 81¢·beeemw

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Talia Gibson in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Talia Gibson. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Aliaksandra Sasnovich@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Talia Gibson DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $10.5K → $664 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich; negative values favor Talia Gibson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTalia Gibson · $15.6K
6hTalia Gibson · $3.7K
24hTalia Gibson · $3.7K

Aliaksandra Sasnovich price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aliaksandra Sasnovich price. Talia Gibson fills are converted to the complementary Aliaksandra Sasnovich probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.7¢▲ above by 19.3pp
VWAP 7d80.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aliaksandra Sasnovich price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$93
90¢
$17.1K
85¢
$24.5K
80¢
$20.6K
75¢
$12.1K
70¢
$9.3K
65¢
$4.9K
60¢
$8.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAliaksandra Sasnovich$10.9K@ 86.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAliaksandra Sasnovich$15.4K@ 81.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Talia Gibson$34.9K
BUY VWAP 16.0¢·16 fills
beeemwAliaksandra Sasnovich$15.4K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpAliaksandra Sasnovich$14.6K
BUY VWAP 87.5¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesAliaksandra Sasnovich$11.5K
BUY VWAP 77.5¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.