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Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercan

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $58.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $547.5KEvent: Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercan
76.0¢
Leolia Jeanjean
24.0¢
Melisa Ercan
6.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:217 trades$188.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leolia Jeanjean · $2.1K net·9 wallets·$32.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLeolia Jeanjean$14.2K@ 51¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Leolia Jeanjean pressure: $16.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.6K
6h
+$32.6K
tracked
$188.7K

9 verified profitable wallets: Leolia Jeanjean · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
6.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 84% · priority 45

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 6.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Leolia Jeanjean or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Melisa Ercan in the Adana, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Melisa Ercan. This market will resolve to 'Melisa Ercan' if Melisa Ercan advances against Leolia Jeanjean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Leolia Jeanjean@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +30.0pp
Latest book event: Melisa Ercan UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $109 → $655 · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leolia Jeanjean; negative values favor Melisa Ercan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeolia Jeanjean · $16.6K
6hLeolia Jeanjean · $32.6K
24hLeolia Jeanjean · $32.6K

Leolia Jeanjean price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leolia Jeanjean price. Melisa Ercan fills are converted to the complementary Leolia Jeanjean probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.0¢
VWAP 24h51.8¢▲ above by 24.2pp
VWAP 7d51.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leolia Jeanjean price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.6K
80¢
$21.5K
75¢
← now
$8.6K
70¢
$15.8K
65¢
$6.3K
60¢
$9.2K
55¢
$591
50¢
$41.3K
45¢
$8.8K
40¢
$27.5K
35¢
$14.1K
30¢
$2.5K
25¢
$19.7K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$4.2K
10¢
$3.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLeolia Jeanjean$12.6K@ 44.1¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLeolia Jeanjean$12.1K@ 51.7¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLeolia Jeanjean$14.2K@ 51.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooLeolia Jeanjean$26.2K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·2 fills
KkunnLeolia Jeanjean$12.6K
BUY VWAP 44.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.