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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

● quote 8 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $12.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $273.3KEvent: Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
0.4¢
Joao Lucas Da Silva
99.6¢
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
0.7¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution76Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:98 trades$65.5K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Joao Lucas Da Silva · $3.1K net·8 wallets·$12.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida$7.8K@ 59¢·0x17c4…2471

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$26
6h
+$11.2K
tracked
$65.5K

8 verified profitable wallets: Joao Lucas Da Silva · $3.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.7¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Joao Lucas Da Silva DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $15 → $53 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joao Lucas Da Silva; negative values favor Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida · $26
6hJoao Lucas Da Silva · $11.2K
24hJoao Lucas Da Silva · $11.2K

Joao Lucas Da Silva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joao Lucas Da Silva price. Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida fills are converted to the complementary Joao Lucas Da Silva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.4¢
VWAP 24h31.8¢▼ below by 31.3pp
VWAP 7d31.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joao Lucas Da Silva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$9.3K
40¢
$9.4K
35¢
$13.6K
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$178
20¢
$9.0K
15¢
$19.0K
10¢
$410
5¢
$228
0¢
← now
$64

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.