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St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian: 2H Moneyline

● quote 46 min ago
Sports→Closes: 23 minutesLiquidity: $2Official 24h Vol: —Event: St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian
50.0¢
St. Thomas
50.0¢
Presbyterian
98.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$29.4K tracked100% 🐋source coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 157 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPresbyterian$29.4K@ 98¢·0x684f…6410

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$29.4K
tracked
$29.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
98.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 46 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 157 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 98.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "St. Thomas" if St. Thomas outscore Presbyterian in the second half.

•This market will resolve to "Presbyterian" if Presbyterian outscore St. Thomas in the second half.

Read full resolution rules

In the second half of the college football game between St. Thomas and Presbyterian, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Thomas" if St. Thomas outscore Presbyterian in the second half. This market will resolve to "Presbyterian" if Presbyterian outscore St. Thomas in the second half. If both teams score the same number of points in the second half, this market will resolve 50-50. Points scored in the second half and in any overtime count toward this market. First-half points are not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor St. Thomas; negative values favor Presbyterian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSt. Thomas · $0
6hPresbyterian · $29.4K
24hPresbyterian · $29.4K

St. Thomas price VWAP

Volume-weighted St. Thomas price. Presbyterian fills are converted to the complementary St. Thomas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.0¢
VWAP 24h2.0¢▲ above by 48.0pp
VWAP 7d2.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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St. Thomas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$29.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPresbyterian$29.4K@ 98.0¢0x684f…6410🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x684f…6410Presbyterian$29.4K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.