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Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 17s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
0.1¢
Level UP
100.0¢
Xtreme Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 38 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:483 trades$286.2K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Xtreme Gaming · $2.4K net·38 wallets·$67.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLXtreme Gaming$15.6K@ 100¢·sxnxnvmvf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Level UP pressure: $37.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$37.8K
6h
−$38.5K
tracked
$286.2K

38 verified profitable wallets: Xtreme Gaming · $2.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Level UP or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against Level UP.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between Level UP and Xtreme Gaming in the BLAST Slam Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against Level UP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
timdmcf2 linked markets · $28.1K gross
gxxyy2 linked markets · $19.4K gross
cat3xcat3x3 linked markets · $15.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Xtreme Gaming UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $166 → $155 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Level UP; negative values favor Xtreme Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLevel UP · $37.8K
6hXtreme Gaming · $38.5K
24hXtreme Gaming · $38.5K

Level UP price VWAP

Volume-weighted Level UP price. Xtreme Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Level UP probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h26.8¢▼ below by 26.8pp
VWAP 7d26.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Level UP price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$401
70¢
$12.5K
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$5.6K
55¢
$11.2K
50¢
$7.7K
45¢
$9.3K
40¢
$6.6K
35¢
$12.2K
30¢
$27.3K
25¢
$62.6K
20¢
$20.1K
15¢
$25.6K
10¢
$17.7K
5¢
$9.0K
0¢
← now
$52.7K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLXtreme Gaming$15.6K@ 99.9¢
sxnxnvmvf0xbe8b…0226
🐋—24 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gxxyyXtreme Gaming$12.5K
BUY VWAP 82.5¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.