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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $451.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $975.4KEvent: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
0.5¢
Aurora
99.9¢
Team Liquid
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:377 trades$296.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $2.9K net·42 wallets·$57.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAurora$17.3K@ 62¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-01 21:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Aurora.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Winner match between Aurora and Team Liquid in the BLAST Slam Group D, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 12m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 12m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $51.3K gross
Harekrishna6662 linked markets · $31.4K gross
SineNooneEI3 linked markets · $21.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aurora UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $61 → $33 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $9.7K
6hAurora · $42.1K
24hAurora · $42.1K

Aurora price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary Aurora probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h39.5¢▼ below by 39.0pp
VWAP 7d39.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aurora price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$8.2K
60¢
$81.0K
55¢
$26.1K
50¢
$18.8K
45¢
$25.3K
40¢
$15.2K
35¢
$20.7K
30¢
$5.9K
25¢
$8.5K
20¢
$6.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$4.2K
0¢
← now
$75.8K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid$10.6K@ 99.9¢
TLking0x74b7…8b0b
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYAurora$17.3K@ 62.0¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Aurora$17.9K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·9 fills
0xf3ce…a57aAurora$17.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.