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LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 3 minutesLiquidity: $63.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $79.8KEvent: LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei (BO3) - Asian Games Playoffs
0.1¢
Vietnam
100.0¢
Chinese Taipei
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly35Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%
24h sample:5 trades$16.9K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 110 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChinese Taipei$11.7K@ 99¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$175
6h
−$6.6K
tracked
$16.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 110 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vietnam" if Vietnam win Game 1 against Chinese Taipei.

•This market will resolve to "Chinese Taipei" if Chinese Taipei win Game 1 against Vietnam.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Vietnam and Chinese Taipei in the Asian Games Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vietnam" if Vietnam win Game 1 against Chinese Taipei. This market will resolve to "Chinese Taipei" if Chinese Taipei win Game 1 against Vietnam. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $48.2K gross
lhz60022 linked markets · $5.3K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $11 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vietnam; negative values favor Chinese Taipei. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVietnam · $175
6hChinese Taipei · $6.6K
24hChinese Taipei · $6.6K

Vietnam price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vietnam price. Chinese Taipei fills are converted to the complementary Vietnam probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h0.9¢▼ below by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d0.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vietnam price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$16.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChinese Taipei$11.7K@ 98.8¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Chinese Taipei$11.7K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.