Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Naomi Osaka pressure: $50.7K net directional flow in 1h.
16 verified profitable wallets: Naomi Osaka · $26.2K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 73% · priority 0
Since latest market sweep: +11.5pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Naomi Osaka or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Maria Timofeeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Maria Timofeeva price VWAP
Largest holders
Maria Timofeeva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.