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China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $828.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $395.9KEvent: China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova
26.5¢
Clara Tauson payout
73.5¢
Polina Kudermetova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:149 trades$137.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Polina Kudermetova · $15.5K net·12 wallets·$81.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYClara Tauson$21.0K@ 53¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Clara Tauson and Polina Kudermetova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clara Tauson' if Clara Tauson advances against Polina Kudermetova. This market will resolve to 'Polina Kudermetova' if Polina Kudermetova advances against Clara Tauson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 21m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 21m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Polina Kudermetova2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Clara Tauson@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Clara Tauson2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Clara Tauson@ 43.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Polina Kudermetova UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $330 → $2.6K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clara Tauson; negative values favor Polina Kudermetova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPolina Kudermetova · $3.0K
6hClara Tauson · $19.4K
24hClara Tauson · $19.4K

Clara Tauson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clara Tauson price. Polina Kudermetova fills are converted to the complementary Clara Tauson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h40.5¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d40.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clara Tauson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$114
60¢
$1.7K
55¢
$14.5K
50¢
$54.6K
45¢
$7.0K
40¢
$6.2K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
← now
$23.2K
20¢
$13.6K
15¢
$2.9K
10¢
$2.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
$7.5K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYClara Tauson$21.0K@ 53.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesPolina Kudermetova$23.6K
BUY VWAP 72.3¢·16 fills
0x78be…bde0Clara Tauson$21.0K
BUY VWAP 53.4¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardClara Tauson$17.9K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·5 fills
HomeRunHazardPolina Kudermetova$15.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.