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China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur

Sports→Settlement: Daria SnigurLiquidity: $169.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $586.4KEvent: China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur
0.0¢
Jasmine Paolini payout
100.0¢
Daria Snigur payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:245 trades$201.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daria Snigur · $3.2K net·21 wallets·$73.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaria Snigur$33.1K@ 90¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daria Snigur. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Daria Snigur in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Daria Snigur. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Daria Snigur@ 96.0¢46m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Jasmine Paolini2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jasmine Paolini@ 75.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -37.0pp
Latest book event: Jasmine Paolini DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $27.1K → $12.3K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jasmine Paolini; negative values favor Daria Snigur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJasmine Paolini · $37.5K
6hJasmine Paolini · $61.7K
24hJasmine Paolini · $59.5K

Jasmine Paolini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jasmine Paolini price. Daria Snigur fills are converted to the complementary Jasmine Paolini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h40.3¢▼ below by 40.3pp
VWAP 7d40.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jasmine Paolini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.5K
85¢
$5.0K
80¢
$5.2K
75¢
$5.5K
70¢
$30.7K
65¢
$10.6K
60¢
$4.4K
55¢
$25.5K
50¢
$11.1K
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$5.6K
35¢
$12.2K
30¢
$108
25¢
$2.9K
20¢
$3.0K
15¢
$3.2K
10¢
$36.4K
5¢
$11.8K
0¢
← now
$24.9K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaria Snigur$33.1K@ 89.8¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaria Snigur$10.7K@ 29.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJasmine Paolini$10.4K@ 58.2¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesJasmine Paolini$17.8K
BUY VWAP 70.2¢·23 fills
dmoralezDaria Snigur$13.1K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·10 fills
AntblackDaria Snigur$10.7K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·1 fill
0x78be…bde0Jasmine Paolini$10.4K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.