PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $431.4KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi
100.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet
0.1¢
Luciano Darderi
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:125 trades$155.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kyrian Jacquet · $747 net·9 wallets·$52.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuciano Darderi$29.3K@ 59¢·Antblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Kyrian Jacquet pressure: $8.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$8.4K
6h
−$8.6K
tracked
$155.9K

9 verified profitable wallets: Kyrian Jacquet · $747 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +45.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 45.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kyrian Jacquet or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Luciano Darderi in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kyrian Jacquet1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Kyrian Jacquet@ 55.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Luciano Darderi@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -36.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
Latest book event: Luciano Darderi UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $130 → $1 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyrian Jacquet; negative values favor Luciano Darderi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyrian Jacquet · $8.4K
6hLuciano Darderi · $8.6K
24hLuciano Darderi · $10.6K

Kyrian Jacquet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyrian Jacquet price. Luciano Darderi fills are converted to the complementary Kyrian Jacquet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.1¢▲ above by 40.9pp
VWAP 7d59.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Kyrian Jacquet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.8K
90¢
$8.3K
85¢
$14
80¢
$19.5K
75¢
$20.7K
70¢
$7.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$434
55¢
$6.4K
50¢
$7.3K
45¢
$25.9K
40¢
$53.5K
35¢
$2.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKyrian Jacquet$10.0K@ 43.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKyrian Jacquet$19.1K@ 49.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$29.3K@ 59.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
86.5¢$806.1Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
17.5¢$711.0Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$431.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina Kudermetova
0.1¢$395.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackLuciano Darderi$32.3K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Kyrian Jacquet$29.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardKyrian Jacquet$13.9K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesLuciano Darderi$13.3K
BUY VWAP 48.1¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.