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LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $219.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $384.3KEvent: LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
0.1¢
Solary
100.0¢
T1 Academy
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:242 trades$168.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 59s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Solary · $8.4K net·17 wallets·$40.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLT1 Academy$17.3K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Solary pressure: $11.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.3K
6h
+$10.5K
tracked
$168.6K

17 verified profitable wallets: Solary · $8.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Solary or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 4 against T1 Academy.

•This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 4 against Solary.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Solary and T1 Academy in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 4 against T1 Academy. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win Game 4 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51204 linked markets · $65.3K gross
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $57.7K gross
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $57.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Solary DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $27 → $123 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Solary; negative values favor T1 Academy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSolary · $11.3K
6hSolary · $10.5K
24hSolary · $10.5K

Solary price VWAP

Volume-weighted Solary price. T1 Academy fills are converted to the complementary Solary probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h20.9¢▼ below by 20.8pp
VWAP 7d20.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Solary price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$22.9K
45¢
$44.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$82
15¢
$522
10¢
$1.0K
5¢
$8.7K
0¢
← now
$89.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLT1 Academy$17.3K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1 Academy$16.9K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eSolary$20.3K
BUY VWAP 48.6¢·6 fills
Sisyphus.T1 Academy$16.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.