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Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko

● quote 19s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $142.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $232.0KEvent: Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko
0.1¢
Gianluca Cadenasso
100.0¢
Vitaliy Sachko
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly27Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:119 trades$100.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vitaliy Sachko · $4.5K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$55.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitaliy Sachko$18.6K@ 98¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$788
6h
−$24.8K
tracked
$100.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Vitaliy Sachko · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 41.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Vitaliy Sachko in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Vitaliy Sachko. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitaliy Sachko3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitaliy Sachko@ 59.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Vitaliy Sachko UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $18.6K → $149 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gianluca Cadenasso; negative values favor Vitaliy Sachko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGianluca Cadenasso · $788
6hVitaliy Sachko · $24.8K
24hVitaliy Sachko · $26.3K

Gianluca Cadenasso price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gianluca Cadenasso price. Vitaliy Sachko fills are converted to the complementary Gianluca Cadenasso probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h20.8¢▼ below by 20.7pp
VWAP 7d20.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gianluca Cadenasso price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5
65¢
$4.4K
60¢
$2.4K
55¢
$4.1K
50¢
$15.5K
45¢
$21
40¢
$3.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$114
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$13.6K
10¢
$4.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$48.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLVitaliy Sachko$11.1K@ 99.9¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitaliy Sachko$18.6K@ 98.3¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYVitaliy Sachko$15.0K@ 46.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cVitaliy Sachko$25.1K
BUY VWAP 98.2¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Vitaliy Sachko$15.0K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·1 fill
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseVitaliy Sachko$11.1K
BUY VWAP 82.1¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.